February 9, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bruna Brasil | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Loma Lookboonmee's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Loma Lookboonmee for the expected result. Had Bruna Brasil pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bruna Brasil | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bruna Brasil | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 971 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Loma Lookboonmee earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bruna Brasil | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 887 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Loma Lookboonmee controlled the striking exchanges with 73 vs 52 total strikes, 58 vs 28 significant strikes. Loma Lookboonmee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bruna Brasil | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:29 | 0:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 974 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Loma Lookboonmee did not secure a significant ground advantage against Bruna Brasil on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:55 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Bruna Brasil | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 1 016 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Loma Lookboonmee demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Loma Lookboonmee capitalized on this activity level, while Bruna Brasil's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bruna Brasil | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Loma Lookboonmee extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bruna Brasil is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bruna Brasil | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.