January 12, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brunno Ferreira | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 910 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -25 |
Brunno Ferreira overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Phil Hawes.
| Metric | Brunno Ferreira | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brunno Ferreira | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:55 | 4:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 181 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -40 |
Brunno Ferreira earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:55, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brunno Ferreira | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 124 | 892 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Brunno Ferreira controlled the striking exchanges with 19 vs 13 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brunno Ferreira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brunno Ferreira | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:37 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 084 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Brunno Ferreira landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brunno Ferreira | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 1 038 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -24 |
Brunno Ferreira demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brunno Ferreira capitalized on this activity level, while Phil Hawes's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brunno Ferreira | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Brunno Ferreira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phil Hawes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brunno Ferreira | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.