Bruno Lopes vs Dustin Jacoby

May 31, 2025

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1018
(-28)
Bruno Lopes
Winner: Dustin Jacoby
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:50

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Bruno Lopes-28
Dustin Jacoby+30
1162
(+30)
Dustin Jacoby

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bruno Lopes: -30Dustin Jacoby: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricBruno LopesDustin Jacoby
Total UFC Fights216
Experience Gap-1414
Experience ELO1 0461 128
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Dustin Jacoby's 14-fight experience advantage (16 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Jacoby for the expected result. Had Bruno Lopes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bruno Lopes: -20Dustin Jacoby: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricBruno LopesDustin Jacoby
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0021 062
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bruno Lopes: -11Dustin Jacoby: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricBruno LopesDustin Jacoby
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:501:50
Win Type ELO1 0331 392
ELO Change-11+27
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What Happened

Dustin Jacoby earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:50, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bruno Lopes: -82Dustin Jacoby: +82

Performance Statistics

MetricBruno LopesDustin Jacoby
Significant Strikes Landed317
Significant Strikes Attempted929
Total Strikes Landed517
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9431 232
ELO Change-82+82
💡

What Happened

Dustin Jacoby controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 3 significant strikes, 58.6% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dustin Jacoby capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bruno Lopes: -25Dustin Jacoby: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricBruno LopesDustin Jacoby
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:30
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1031 105
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Dustin Jacoby did not secure a significant ground advantage against Bruno Lopes on the ground with 0:30 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bruno Lopes: -11Dustin Jacoby: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBruno LopesDustin Jacoby
Days Since Last Fight140168
Activity ELO1 0111 220
ELO Change-11+19
💡

What Happened

Dustin Jacoby demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Jacoby capitalized on this activity level, while Bruno Lopes's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bruno Lopes: -18Dustin Jacoby: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricBruno LopesDustin Jacoby
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0071 098
ELO Change-18+22
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What Happened

Dustin Jacoby extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bruno Lopes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bruno Lopes: -20Dustin Jacoby: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricBruno LopesDustin Jacoby
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0021 061
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.