March 29, 2024
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 972 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Chris Weidman's 4-fight experience advantage (19 vs 15 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Weidman for the expected result. Had Bruno Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 012 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:18 | 2:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 216 | 1 420 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Chris Weidman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 077 | 1 261 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Chris Weidman dominated the striking exchanges with 88 vs 30 total strikes, 75 vs 30 significant strikes, 67.6% vs 34.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chris Weidman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 092 | 1 454 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Chris Weidman landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 255 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Chris Weidman demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chris Weidman capitalized on this activity level, while Bruno Silva's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +11 |
Chris Weidman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bruno Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.