August 12, 2022
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 012 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Gerald Meerschaert's 7-fight experience advantage (17 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gerald Meerschaert for the expected result. Had Bruno Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:39 | 1:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 193 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +61 |
Gerald Meerschaert earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:39, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Bruno Silva was submitted.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 114 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 127 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -107 | +107 |
Gerald Meerschaert controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 38 total strikes, 46 vs 29 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gerald Meerschaert capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 2:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 991 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -138 | +138 |
Gerald Meerschaert dominated Bruno Silva on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:12 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 212 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +65 |
Gerald Meerschaert demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gerald Meerschaert capitalized on this activity level, while Bruno Silva's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Gerald Meerschaert started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bruno Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

