June 7, 2025
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 915 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +24 |
Joshua Van overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Bruno Silva.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 955 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:01 | 4:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 084 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +67 |
Joshua Van gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 125 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 149 | 217 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 149 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Striking ELO | 813 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Joshua Van dominated the striking exchanges with 149 vs 77 total strikes, 125 vs 76 significant strikes, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Joshua Van capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 1:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 24 |
| Ground ELO | 900 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Joshua Van controlled Bruno Silva on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:01 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 28 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 177 | 1 287 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +46 |
Joshua Van demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joshua Van capitalized on this activity level, while Bruno Silva's 28-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +21 |
Joshua Van extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bruno Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 950 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.