May 21, 2021
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Victor Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 959 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Bruno Silva's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Bruno Silva for the expected result. Had Victor Rodriguez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Victor Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Victor Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:00 | 1:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 116 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -34 |
Bruno Silva secured a devastating KO/TKO in 1:00 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Victor Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 197 | 832 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Bruno Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 6 vs 0 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Bruno Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Victor Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 054 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Victor Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 059 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -20 |
Bruno Silva demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Bruno Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Victor Rodriguez's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Victor Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Bruno Silva extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Victor Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bruno Silva | Victor Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

