Bryan Barberena vs Gerald Meerschaert

March 15, 2024

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1040
(-29)
Bryan Barberena
Winner: Gerald Meerschaert
Submission
Round 2 • 4:23

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Bryan Barberena-29
Gerald Meerschaert+33
1111
(+33)
Gerald Meerschaert

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Barberena: -35Gerald Meerschaert: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan BarberenaGerald Meerschaert
Total UFC Fights1920
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 0681 097
ELO Change-35+35
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (19 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Barberena: -21Gerald Meerschaert: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan BarberenaGerald Meerschaert
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9991 038
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Barberena: -41Gerald Meerschaert: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan BarberenaGerald Meerschaert
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:234:23
Win Type ELO1 1771 290
ELO Change-41+63
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What Happened

Gerald Meerschaert earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:23, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Bryan Barberena was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Barberena: -28Gerald Meerschaert: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan BarberenaGerald Meerschaert
Significant Strikes Landed1211
Significant Strikes Attempted3717
Total Strikes Landed2530
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 016998
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Gerald Meerschaert slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 64.7% vs 32.4% accuracy. Gerald Meerschaert capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Barberena: -46Gerald Meerschaert: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan BarberenaGerald Meerschaert
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted07
Ground Control Time0:035:03
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO8671 170
ELO Change-46+46
💡

What Happened

Gerald Meerschaert dominated Bryan Barberena on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:03 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Barberena: -22Gerald Meerschaert: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan BarberenaGerald Meerschaert
Days Since Last Fight239211
Activity ELO1 1641 193
ELO Change-22+28
💡

What Happened

Gerald Meerschaert demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gerald Meerschaert capitalized on this activity level, while Bryan Barberena's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Barberena: -22Gerald Meerschaert: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan BarberenaGerald Meerschaert
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0321 066
ELO Change-22+24
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What Happened

Gerald Meerschaert started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bryan Barberena is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Barberena: -21Gerald Meerschaert: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan BarberenaGerald Meerschaert
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9931 038
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.