August 24, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 138 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -28 |
Bryan Barberena overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Ellenberger.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:26 | 2:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 289 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -44 |
Bryan Barberena earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:26, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 231 | 871 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Bryan Barberena dominated the striking exchanges with 19 vs 12 significant strikes, 54.3% vs 85.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Bryan Barberena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 171 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Bryan Barberena landed 2 knockdowns followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 357 | 85 |
| Activity ELO | 1 123 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Bryan Barberena demonstrated standard activity with 357 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Bryan Barberena capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Ellenberger's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 069 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -21 |
Bryan Barberena started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Ellenberger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.