September 1, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 031 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 191 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Leon Edwards earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 115 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 182 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Bryan Barberena controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (115 vs 58 total strikes), significant strike advantage (44 vs 23), 1 knockdown. However, since Bryan Barberena lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Leon Edwards's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:25 | 8:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 132 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Leon Edwards controlled Bryan Barberena on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 8:08 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 098 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +31 |
Leon Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Leon Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Bryan Barberena's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +27 |
Leon Edwards extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bryan Barberena is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.