July 21, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 103 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +65 |
Makhmud Muradov overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Bryan Barberena.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 218 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Makhmud Muradov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 97 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 044 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Makhmud Muradov dominated the striking exchanges with 54 vs 28 significant strikes, 55.7% vs 34.6% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Makhmud Muradov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 16 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 5:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 913 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -110 | +110 |
Makhmud Muradov landed 2 knockdowns followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 186 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Makhmud Muradov demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Makhmud Muradov capitalized on this activity level, while Bryan Barberena's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Makhmud Muradov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bryan Barberena is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 014 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

