June 21, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 072 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +40 |
Randy Brown overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Bryan Barberena.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 010 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:54 | 2:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 199 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +118 |
Randy Brown gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 89 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 152 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 122 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 056 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -118 | +118 |
Randy Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 122 total strikes, 89 vs 47 significant strikes, 58.6% vs 46.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Randy Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:59 | 2:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 126 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Randy Brown did not secure a significant ground advantage against Bryan Barberena on the ground with 2:38 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 125 | 343 |
| Activity ELO | 1 085 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Randy Brown demonstrated standard activity with 343 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Randy Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Bryan Barberena's 125-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Randy Brown started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bryan Barberena is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 010 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

