July 1, 2022
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 24 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 196 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -29 |
Bryan Barberena overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (15 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Robbie Lawler.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:47 | 4:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 352 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | +127 | -62 |
Bryan Barberena gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 147 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 316 | 141 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 148 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 184 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -115 |
Bryan Barberena dominated the striking exchanges with 148 vs 81 total strikes, 147 vs 81 significant strikes, 46.5% vs 57.4% accuracy. Bryan Barberena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 119 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 253 | 1 304 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -30 |
Bryan Barberena demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Bryan Barberena capitalized on this activity level, while Robbie Lawler's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 113 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -27 |
Bryan Barberena extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Robbie Lawler is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryan Barberena | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 073 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.