September 28, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryan Battle | Kevin Jousset |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 134 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Bryan Battle's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Bryan Battle for the expected result. Had Kevin Jousset pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bryan Battle | Kevin Jousset |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 091 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryan Battle | Kevin Jousset |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:47 | 3:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 338 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -23 |
Bryan Battle gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Battle | Kevin Jousset |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 97 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 170 | 97 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 118 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 194 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Bryan Battle dominated the striking exchanges with 118 vs 63 total strikes, 97 vs 58 significant strikes. Bryan Battle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryan Battle | Kevin Jousset |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:31 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 137 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Bryan Battle did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kevin Jousset on the ground with 3:31 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Bryan Battle | Kevin Jousset |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 295 |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Bryan Battle demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Bryan Battle capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Jousset's 295-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Battle | Kevin Jousset |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 107 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Bryan Battle started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Jousset is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryan Battle | Kevin Jousset |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 091 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.