Bryan Caraway vs Dustin Neace

December 2, 2011

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1036
(+36)
Bryan Caraway
Winner: Bryan Caraway
Submission
Round 2 • 3:38

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Bryan Caraway+36
Dustin Neace-32
968
(-32)
Dustin Neace

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: +21Dustin Neace: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayDustin Neace
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: +21Dustin Neace: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayDustin Neace
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: +65Dustin Neace: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayDustin Neace
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:383:38
Win Type ELO1 065958
ELO Change+65-42
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What Happened

Bryan Caraway earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Dustin Neace was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: +24Dustin Neace: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayDustin Neace
Significant Strikes Landed2318
Significant Strikes Attempted5355
Total Strikes Landed3235
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 024976
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Bryan Caraway slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 23 vs 18 significant strikes, 43.4% vs 32.7% accuracy. Bryan Caraway capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: +89Dustin Neace: -89

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayDustin Neace
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted31
Ground Control Time3:050:55
Ground Strikes Landed13
Ground ELO1 089911
ELO Change+89-89
💡

What Happened

Bryan Caraway dominated Dustin Neace on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:05 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: +21Dustin Neace: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayDustin Neace
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Bryan Caraway demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Bryan Caraway capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Neace's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: +23Dustin Neace: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayDustin Neace
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Bryan Caraway started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Neace is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: +21Dustin Neace: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayDustin Neace
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.