December 2, 2011
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Dustin Neace |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Dustin Neace |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Dustin Neace |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:38 | 3:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 065 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -42 |
Bryan Caraway earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Dustin Neace was submitted.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Dustin Neace |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 55 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 024 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Bryan Caraway slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 23 vs 18 significant strikes, 43.4% vs 32.7% accuracy. Bryan Caraway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Dustin Neace |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:05 | 0:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 089 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Bryan Caraway dominated Dustin Neace on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:05 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Dustin Neace |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Bryan Caraway demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Bryan Caraway capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Neace's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Dustin Neace |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Bryan Caraway started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Neace is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Dustin Neace |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

