July 24, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 096 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 235 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Bryan Caraway earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 190 | 180 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 100 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Bryan Caraway edged the striking exchanges with 61 vs 52 significant strikes. Bryan Caraway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:13 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 286 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Bryan Caraway did not secure a significant ground advantage against Eddie Wineland on the ground with 1:13 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 441 |
| Activity ELO | 1 150 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Bryan Caraway demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Bryan Caraway capitalized on this activity level, while Eddie Wineland's 441-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -18 |
Bryan Caraway started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eddie Wineland is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.