April 26, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Johnny Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Johnny Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Johnny Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:44 | 4:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 179 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -50 |
Bryan Caraway earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:44, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Johnny Bedford was submitted.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Johnny Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 108 | 131 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 125 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 072 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Bryan Caraway dominated the striking exchanges with 125 vs 59 total strikes, 43 vs 50 significant strikes. Bryan Caraway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Johnny Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:21 | 0:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 309 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +176 | -176 |
Bryan Caraway dominated Johnny Bedford on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:21 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Johnny Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 56 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 135 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +109 | -22 |
Bryan Caraway demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Bryan Caraway capitalized on this activity level, while Johnny Bedford's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Johnny Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Bryan Caraway started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Johnny Bedford is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Johnny Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.