November 29, 2018
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 065 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:39 | 2:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 198 | 1 389 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +71 |
Pedro Munhoz earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:39, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 036 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Pedro Munhoz controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 20 significant strikes, 60.3% vs 41.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:17 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 248 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 272 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 122 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +51 |
Pedro Munhoz demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this activity level, while Bryan Caraway's 272-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 062 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Pedro Munhoz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bryan Caraway is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryan Caraway | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

