Bryan Caraway vs Pedro Munhoz

November 29, 2018

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1101
(-33)
Bryan Caraway
Winner: Pedro Munhoz
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:39

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Bryan Caraway-33
Pedro Munhoz+42
1209
(+42)
Pedro Munhoz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: -29Pedro Munhoz: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayPedro Munhoz
Total UFC Fights1011
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 0651 147
ELO Change-29+29
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: -20Pedro Munhoz: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayPedro Munhoz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0401 092
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: -32Pedro Munhoz: +71

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayPedro Munhoz
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:392:39
Win Type ELO1 1981 389
ELO Change-32+71
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What Happened

Pedro Munhoz earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:39, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: -66Pedro Munhoz: +66

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayPedro Munhoz
Significant Strikes Landed2035
Significant Strikes Attempted4858
Total Strikes Landed2138
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0361 291
ELO Change-66+66
💡

What Happened

Pedro Munhoz controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 20 significant strikes, 60.3% vs 41.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: -57Pedro Munhoz: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayPedro Munhoz
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted50
Ground Control Time0:170:02
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO1 2481 335
ELO Change-57+57
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: -20Pedro Munhoz: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayPedro Munhoz
Days Since Last Fight272119
Activity ELO1 1221 206
ELO Change-20+51
💡

What Happened

Pedro Munhoz demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this activity level, while Bryan Caraway's 272-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: -20Pedro Munhoz: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayPedro Munhoz
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0621 123
ELO Change-20+24
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What Happened

Pedro Munhoz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bryan Caraway is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bryan Caraway: -20Pedro Munhoz: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricBryan CarawayPedro Munhoz
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0401 092
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.