Bryan Caraway vs Raphael Assuncao

Raphael Assuncao's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raphael Assuncao for the expected result. Had Bryan Caraway pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Raphael Assuncao earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Raphael Assuncao controlled the striking exchanges with 83 vs 46 total strikes, 75 vs 39 significant strikes, 56.4% vs 30.5% accuracy. Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this striking dominance.

Raphael Assuncao controlled Bryan Caraway on the ground with 2 takedowns, 0:41 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Raphael Assuncao demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this activity level, while Bryan Caraway's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Raphael Assuncao continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Bryan Caraway's now at 0.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.