Bryan Caraway vs Takeya Mizugaki

Takeya Mizugaki's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Takeya Mizugaki for the expected result. Had Bryan Caraway pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Takeya Mizugaki receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Takeya Mizugaki controlled the striking exchanges with 117 vs 69 total strikes, 67 vs 37 significant strikes, 57.3% vs 41.6% accuracy. Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this striking dominance.

Takeya Mizugaki did not secure a significant ground advantage against Bryan Caraway on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Takeya Mizugaki demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this activity level, while Bryan Caraway's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Takeya Mizugaki extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bryan Caraway is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.