March 4, 2022
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 27 |
| Experience Gap | -21 | 21 |
| Experience ELO | 1 239 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -32 |
Bryce Mitchell overcame a 21-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 27 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Edson Barboza.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 117 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 269 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Bryce Mitchell earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 182 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 288 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
Bryce Mitchell dominated the striking exchanges with 182 vs 23 total strikes, 34 vs 16 significant strikes, 72.3% vs 43.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Bryce Mitchell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:28 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 363 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Bryce Mitchell dominated Edson Barboza on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 11:28 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 490 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 176 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -27 |
Bryce Mitchell demonstrated extended layoff with 490 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Bryce Mitchell capitalized on this activity level, while Edson Barboza's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 186 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -21 |
Bryce Mitchell continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Edson Barboza's now at 0.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 117 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.