Bryce Mitchell vs Ilia Topuria

December 9, 2022

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1182
(-37)
Bryce Mitchell
Winner: Ilia Topuria
Submission
Round 2 • 3:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Bryce Mitchell-37
Ilia Topuria+45
1222
(+45)
Ilia Topuria

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -36Ilia Topuria: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellIlia Topuria
Total UFC Fights75
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 2031 225
ELO Change-36+41
💡

What Happened

Ilia Topuria overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Bryce Mitchell.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -23Ilia Topuria: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellIlia Topuria
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0941 108
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -36Ilia Topuria: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellIlia Topuria
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:103:10
Win Type ELO1 2331 372
ELO Change-36+57
💡

What Happened

Ilia Topuria earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Bryce Mitchell was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -62Ilia Topuria: +62

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellIlia Topuria
Significant Strikes Landed3640
Significant Strikes Attempted8277
Total Strikes Landed4653
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 2261 312
ELO Change-62+62
💡

What Happened

Ilia Topuria controlled the striking exchanges with 51.9% vs 43.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ilia Topuria capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -74Ilia Topuria: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellIlia Topuria
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted90
Ground Control Time1:291:18
Ground Strikes Landed18
Ground ELO1 2891 293
ELO Change-74+74
💡

What Happened

Ilia Topuria controlled Bryce Mitchell on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:18 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -21Ilia Topuria: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellIlia Topuria
Days Since Last Fight280266
Activity ELO1 1551 198
ELO Change-21+27
💡

What Happened

Ilia Topuria demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ilia Topuria capitalized on this activity level, while Bryce Mitchell's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -26Ilia Topuria: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellIlia Topuria
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO1 1601 156
ELO Change-26+49
💡

What Happened

Ilia Topuria continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Bryce Mitchell's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -23Ilia Topuria: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellIlia Topuria
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0941 108
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.