April 12, 2025
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 199 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +46 |
Jean Silva overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Bryce Mitchell.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 085 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:52 | 3:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 250 | 1 360 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +65 |
Jean Silva earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Bryce Mitchell was submitted.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 179 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Bryce Mitchell controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (36 vs 27), superior accuracy (56.3% vs 42.9%). However, since Bryce Mitchell lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jean Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:43 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 257 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -86 | +86 |
Jean Silva controlled Bryce Mitchell on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:19 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 49 |
| Activity ELO | 1 161 | 1 358 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +73 |
Jean Silva demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jean Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Bryce Mitchell's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 148 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +47 |
Jean Silva continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Bryce Mitchell's now at 0.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 085 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.