Bryce Mitchell vs Josh Emmett

December 15, 2023

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1185
(-33)
Bryce Mitchell
Winner: Josh Emmett
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:57

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Bryce Mitchell-33
Josh Emmett+40
1268
(+40)
Josh Emmett

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -34Josh Emmett: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellJosh Emmett
Total UFC Fights914
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 2161 261
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Josh Emmett's 5-fight experience advantage (14 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Josh Emmett for the expected result. Had Bryce Mitchell pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -21Josh Emmett: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellJosh Emmett
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0941 129
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -31Josh Emmett: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellJosh Emmett
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:571:57
Win Type ELO1 2561 456
ELO Change-31+74
💡

What Happened

Josh Emmett earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -86Josh Emmett: +86

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellJosh Emmett
Significant Strikes Landed02
Significant Strikes Attempted310
Total Strikes Landed02
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 1721 449
ELO Change-86+86
💡

What Happened

Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -30Josh Emmett: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellJosh Emmett
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 3261 232
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -16Josh Emmett: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellJosh Emmett
Days Since Last Fight85176
Activity ELO1 1641 297
ELO Change-16+27
💡

What Happened

Josh Emmett demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Josh Emmett capitalized on this activity level, while Bryce Mitchell's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -22Josh Emmett: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellJosh Emmett
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 1601 192
ELO Change-22+24
💡

What Happened

Josh Emmett started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bryce Mitchell is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: -22Josh Emmett: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellJosh Emmett
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0931 128
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.