Bryce Mitchell vs Kron Gracie

December 7, 2024

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1206
(+21)
Bryce Mitchell
Winner: Bryce Mitchell
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 0:39

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Bryce Mitchell+21
Kron Gracie-18
974
(-18)
Kron Gracie

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +16Kron Gracie: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellKron Gracie
Total UFC Fights104
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 2321 008
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

Bryce Mitchell's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Bryce Mitchell for the expected result. Had Kron Gracie pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +14Kron Gracie: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellKron Gracie
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 108967
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +36Kron Gracie: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellKron Gracie
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:390:39
Win Type ELO1 2921 013
ELO Change+36-18
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What Happened

Bryce Mitchell gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +41Kron Gracie: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellKron Gracie
Significant Strikes Landed266
Significant Strikes Attempted3631
Total Strikes Landed14790
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 213946
ELO Change+41-41
💡

What Happened

Bryce Mitchell dominated the striking exchanges with 147 vs 90 total strikes, 26 vs 6 significant strikes, 72.2% vs 19.4% accuracy. Bryce Mitchell capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +17Kron Gracie: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellKron Gracie
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time8:330:02
Ground Strikes Landed40
Ground ELO1 343929
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Bryce Mitchell controlled Kron Gracie on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:33 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +12Kron Gracie: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellKron Gracie
Days Since Last Fight358582
Activity ELO1 176987
ELO Change+12-12
💡

What Happened

Bryce Mitchell demonstrated standard activity with 358 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Bryce Mitchell capitalized on this activity level, while Kron Gracie's 582-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +13Kron Gracie: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellKron Gracie
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 173977
ELO Change+13-11
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What Happened

Bryce Mitchell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kron Gracie is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +14Kron Gracie: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellKron Gracie
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 107967
ELO Change+14-14
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.