December 7, 2024
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 232 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Bryce Mitchell's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Bryce Mitchell for the expected result. Had Kron Gracie pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 108 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:39 | 0:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 292 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -18 |
Bryce Mitchell gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 147 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 213 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Bryce Mitchell dominated the striking exchanges with 147 vs 90 total strikes, 26 vs 6 significant strikes, 72.2% vs 19.4% accuracy. Bryce Mitchell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:33 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 343 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Bryce Mitchell controlled Kron Gracie on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:33 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 358 | 582 |
| Activity ELO | 1 176 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Bryce Mitchell demonstrated standard activity with 358 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Bryce Mitchell capitalized on this activity level, while Kron Gracie's 582-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 173 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -11 |
Bryce Mitchell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kron Gracie is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 107 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

