December 6, 2019
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 078 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -18 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:20 | 4:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 119 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -38 |
Bryce Mitchell earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 101 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Bryce Mitchell edged the striking exchanges with 85.7% vs 50.0% accuracy. Bryce Mitchell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 146 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Bryce Mitchell dominated Matt Sayles on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:00 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 069 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Bryce Mitchell demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Bryce Mitchell capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Sayles's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -18 |
Bryce Mitchell extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Sayles is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.