June 6, 2026
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Santiago Luna |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 247 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Bryce Mitchell's 10-fight experience advantage (13 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Bryce Mitchell for the expected result. Had Santiago Luna pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Santiago Luna |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 122 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Santiago Luna |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:52 | 4:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 327 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -23 |
Bryce Mitchell earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Santiago Luna was submitted.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Santiago Luna |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 112 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 233 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Santiago Luna controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (112 vs 54 total strikes), significant strike advantage (9 vs 22), superior accuracy (36.0% vs 53.7%). However, since Santiago Luna lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Bryce Mitchell's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Santiago Luna |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:40 | 1:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 347 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Bryce Mitchell dominated Santiago Luna on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 11:40 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Santiago Luna |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 220 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Bryce Mitchell demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Bryce Mitchell capitalized on this activity level, while Santiago Luna's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Santiago Luna |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 185 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Bryce Mitchell extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Santiago Luna is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bryce Mitchell | Santiago Luna |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 122 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

