Bryce Mitchell vs Santiago Luna

June 6, 2026

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1225
(+25)
Bryce Mitchell
Winner: Bryce Mitchell
Submission
Round 3 • 4:52

C-ELO Evolution

Bryce Mitchell+25
Santiago Luna-23
1057
(-23)
Santiago Luna

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +20Santiago Luna: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellSantiago Luna
Total UFC Fights133
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 2471 072
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

Bryce Mitchell's 10-fight experience advantage (13 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Bryce Mitchell for the expected result. Had Santiago Luna pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +17Santiago Luna: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellSantiago Luna
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1221 021
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +35Santiago Luna: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellSantiago Luna
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish4:524:52
Win Type ELO1 3271 104
ELO Change+35-23
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What Happened

Bryce Mitchell earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Santiago Luna was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +26Santiago Luna: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellSantiago Luna
Significant Strikes Landed229
Significant Strikes Attempted4125
Total Strikes Landed54112
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2331 106
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Santiago Luna controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (112 vs 54 total strikes), significant strike advantage (9 vs 22), superior accuracy (36.0% vs 53.7%). However, since Santiago Luna lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Bryce Mitchell's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +60Santiago Luna: -60

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellSantiago Luna
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted51
Ground Control Time11:401:14
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 3471 057
ELO Change+60-60
💡

What Happened

Bryce Mitchell dominated Santiago Luna on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 11:40 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +12Santiago Luna: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellSantiago Luna
Days Since Last Fight31598
Activity ELO1 2201 042
ELO Change+12-12
💡

What Happened

Bryce Mitchell demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Bryce Mitchell capitalized on this activity level, while Santiago Luna's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +17Santiago Luna: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellSantiago Luna
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1851 031
ELO Change+17-14
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What Happened

Bryce Mitchell extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Santiago Luna is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bryce Mitchell: +17Santiago Luna: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricBryce MitchellSantiago Luna
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1221 021
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.