October 23, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bubba Bush | Garreth McLellan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bubba Bush | Garreth McLellan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bubba Bush | Garreth McLellan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:58 | 4:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +94 |
Garreth McLellan gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bubba Bush | Garreth McLellan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 97 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 133 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 163 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 876 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -124 | +124 |
Garreth McLellan dominated the striking exchanges with 163 vs 31 total strikes, 97 vs 8 significant strikes, 72.9% vs 57.1% accuracy. Garreth McLellan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bubba Bush | Garreth McLellan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:58 | 7:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 94 |
| Ground ELO | 903 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -97 | +97 |
Garreth McLellan controlled Bubba Bush on the ground with 2 takedowns, 7:47 of control time, 94 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bubba Bush | Garreth McLellan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 476 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Garreth McLellan demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Garreth McLellan capitalized on this activity level, while Bubba Bush's 476-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bubba Bush | Garreth McLellan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Garreth McLellan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bubba Bush is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bubba Bush | Garreth McLellan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.