August 10, 2012
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Buddy Roberts | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 003 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Yushin Okami's 13-fight experience advantage (15 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yushin Okami for the expected result. Had Buddy Roberts pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Buddy Roberts | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Buddy Roberts | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:05 | 3:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 028 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +29 |
Yushin Okami gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Buddy Roberts | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 001 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Yushin Okami controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 20 total strikes, 26 vs 15 significant strikes. Yushin Okami capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Buddy Roberts | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 5:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 995 | 1 336 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Yushin Okami controlled Buddy Roberts on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:28 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Buddy Roberts | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 64 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 014 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +12 |
Yushin Okami demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yushin Okami capitalized on this activity level, while Buddy Roberts's 64-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Buddy Roberts | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +15 |
Yushin Okami started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Buddy Roberts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Buddy Roberts | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.