March 22, 2014
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 090 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
CB Dollaway's 9-fight experience advantage (13 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding CB Dollaway for the expected result. Had Cezar Ferreira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 053 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:39 | 0:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 243 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +110 | -42 |
CB Dollaway secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:39 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 180 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +174 | -174 |
CB Dollaway controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 3 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 37.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. CB Dollaway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 219 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
CB Dollaway landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 156 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 184 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -17 |
CB Dollaway demonstrated solid activity levels with 156 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, CB Dollaway capitalized on this activity level, while Cezar Ferreira's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 075 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
CB Dollaway started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cezar Ferreira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 053 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

