CB Dollaway vs Daniel Sarafian

January 18, 2013

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1100
(+24)
CB Dollaway
Winner: CB Dollaway
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

CB Dollaway+24
Daniel Sarafian-22
978
(-22)
Daniel Sarafian

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: +26Daniel Sarafian: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayDaniel Sarafian
Total UFC Fights111
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 085974
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

CB Dollaway's 10-fight experience advantage (11 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding CB Dollaway for the expected result. Had Daniel Sarafian pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: +19Daniel Sarafian: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayDaniel Sarafian
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 051981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: +7Daniel Sarafian: -7

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayDaniel Sarafian
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 141993
ELO Change+7-7
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with CB Dollaway receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: +37Daniel Sarafian: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayDaniel Sarafian
Significant Strikes Landed6238
Significant Strikes Attempted15298
Total Strikes Landed7341
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 020963
ELO Change+37-37
💡

What Happened

CB Dollaway controlled the striking exchanges with 73 vs 41 total strikes, 62 vs 38 significant strikes. CB Dollaway capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: +42Daniel Sarafian: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayDaniel Sarafian
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted66
Ground Control Time2:261:57
Ground Strikes Landed171
Ground ELO1 200958
ELO Change+42-42
💡

What Happened

CB Dollaway controlled Daniel Sarafian on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:26 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: +15Daniel Sarafian: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayDaniel Sarafian
Days Since Last Fight239N/A
Activity ELO1 176988
ELO Change+15-12
💡

What Happened

CB Dollaway demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, CB Dollaway capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Sarafian's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: +22Daniel Sarafian: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayDaniel Sarafian
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 072982
ELO Change+22-18
💡

What Happened

CB Dollaway extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Sarafian is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: +19Daniel Sarafian: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayDaniel Sarafian
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 051981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.