May 30, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 129 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
CB Dollaway's 6-fight experience advantage (14 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding CB Dollaway for the expected result. Had Francis Carmont pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 281 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
CB Dollaway earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 86 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 256 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
CB Dollaway controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 41 total strikes, 44 vs 29 significant strikes, 55.7% vs 33.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. CB Dollaway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:13 | 1:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 302 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
CB Dollaway landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 69 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 248 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -21 |
CB Dollaway demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 69 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, CB Dollaway capitalized on this activity level, while Francis Carmont's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 106 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -26 |
CB Dollaway extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francis Carmont is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

