March 2, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Hector Lombard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 115 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
CB Dollaway's 8-fight experience advantage (19 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding CB Dollaway for the expected result. Had Hector Lombard pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Hector Lombard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Hector Lombard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | DQ | DQ |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 248 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The fight concluded with CB Dollaway earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Hector Lombard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 119 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Hector Lombard controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (19 vs 13), superior accuracy (57.6% vs 68.4%), 1 knockdown. However, since Hector Lombard lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. CB Dollaway's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Hector Lombard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 263 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Hector Lombard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 240 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 226 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
CB Dollaway demonstrated standard activity with 240 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, CB Dollaway capitalized on this activity level, while Hector Lombard's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Hector Lombard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 097 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
CB Dollaway extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hector Lombard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Hector Lombard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

