May 25, 2012
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
CB Dollaway's 7-fight experience advantage (10 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding CB Dollaway for the expected result. Had Jason Miller pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 032 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 134 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
CB Dollaway earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 99 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 983 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
CB Dollaway dominated the striking exchanges with 99 vs 29 total strikes, 29 vs 14 significant strikes, 54.7% vs 41.2% accuracy. CB Dollaway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 12:25 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 158 | 869 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
CB Dollaway dominated Jason Miller on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 12:25 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 286 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 161 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
CB Dollaway demonstrated standard activity with 286 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, CB Dollaway capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Miller's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
CB Dollaway started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 032 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.