September 15, 2009
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 046 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
CB Dollaway's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding CB Dollaway for the expected result. Had Jay Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 123 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
CB Dollaway earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 092 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
CB Dollaway edged the striking exchanges with 32 vs 19 significant strikes, 58.2% vs 43.2% accuracy. CB Dollaway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:19 | 1:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 130 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -91 |
CB Dollaway dominated Jay Silva on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:19 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 67 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 171 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -13 |
CB Dollaway demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 67 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, CB Dollaway capitalized on this activity level, while Jay Silva's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -20 |
CB Dollaway started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jay Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

