CB Dollaway vs Nate Marquardt

December 18, 2015

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1093
(-41)
CB Dollaway
Winner: Nate Marquardt
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 0:28

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

CB Dollaway-41
Nate Marquardt+48
1159
(+48)
Nate Marquardt

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: -31Nate Marquardt: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayNate Marquardt
Total UFC Fights1720
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 0501 113
ELO Change-31+32
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt's 3-fight experience advantage (20 vs 17 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nate Marquardt for the expected result. Had CB Dollaway pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: -21Nate Marquardt: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayNate Marquardt
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0231 062
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: -40Nate Marquardt: +83

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayNate Marquardt
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:280:28
Win Type ELO1 1891 325
ELO Change-40+83
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: -109Nate Marquardt: +109

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayNate Marquardt
Significant Strikes Landed1516
Significant Strikes Attempted3527
Total Strikes Landed1516
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0601 181
ELO Change-109+109
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt controlled the striking exchanges with 59.3% vs 42.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nate Marquardt capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: -60Nate Marquardt: +60

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayNate Marquardt
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:030:04
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 1601 231
ELO Change-60+60
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: -24Nate Marquardt: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayNate Marquardt
Days Since Last Fight239190
Activity ELO1 1921 198
ELO Change-24+30
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nate Marquardt capitalized on this activity level, while CB Dollaway's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: -21Nate Marquardt: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayNate Marquardt
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0531 098
ELO Change-21+23
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What Happened

Nate Marquardt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. CB Dollaway is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
CB Dollaway: -21Nate Marquardt: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCB DollawayNate Marquardt
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0191 061
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.