October 18, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (12 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 030 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 133 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Tim Boetsch receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 118 | 76 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 006 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
CB Dollaway controlled the striking through superior volume (84 vs 65 total strikes), significant strike advantage (57 vs 41). However, since CB Dollaway lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tim Boetsch's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:57 | 1:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 172 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Tim Boetsch did not secure a significant ground advantage against CB Dollaway on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:59 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 154 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Tim Boetsch demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Boetsch capitalized on this activity level, while CB Dollaway's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Tim Boetsch started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. CB Dollaway is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | CB Dollaway | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 030 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

