CJ Keith vs Ramsey Nijem

June 21, 2012

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

969
(-31)
CJ Keith
Winner: Ramsey Nijem
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:29

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

CJ Keith-31
Ramsey Nijem+39
1048
(+39)
Ramsey Nijem

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Keith: -31Ramsey Nijem: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ KeithRamsey Nijem
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9691 041
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Ramsey Nijem's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ramsey Nijem for the expected result. Had CJ Keith pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Keith: -21Ramsey Nijem: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ KeithRamsey Nijem
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Keith: -42Ramsey Nijem: +94

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ KeithRamsey Nijem
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:292:29
Win Type ELO9581 097
ELO Change-42+94
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What Happened

Ramsey Nijem earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:29, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Keith: -55Ramsey Nijem: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ KeithRamsey Nijem
Significant Strikes Landed55
Significant Strikes Attempted715
Total Strikes Landed1619
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9451 052
ELO Change-55+55
💡

What Happened

CJ Keith controlled the striking through superior accuracy (71.4% vs 33.3%). However, since CJ Keith lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ramsey Nijem's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Keith: -39Ramsey Nijem: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ KeithRamsey Nijem
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:241:04
Ground Strikes Landed13
Ground ELO9611 080
ELO Change-39+39
💡

What Happened

Ramsey Nijem edged out CJ Keith on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:04 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Keith: -20Ramsey Nijem: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ KeithRamsey Nijem
Days Since Last FightN/A237
Activity ELO9801 047
ELO Change-20+25
💡

What Happened

Ramsey Nijem demonstrated standard activity with 237 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ramsey Nijem capitalized on this activity level, while CJ Keith's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Keith: -21Ramsey Nijem: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ KeithRamsey Nijem
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9791 027
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

Ramsey Nijem extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. CJ Keith is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Keith: -21Ramsey Nijem: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ KeithRamsey Nijem
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.