March 24, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Daniel Lacerda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 997 | 897 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -18 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Daniel Lacerda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Daniel Lacerda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:04 | 4:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 853 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -36 |
CJ Vergara gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Daniel Lacerda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 144 | 117 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 024 | 773 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
CJ Vergara controlled the striking exchanges with 98 vs 51 total strikes, 83 vs 48 significant strikes, 57.6% vs 41.0% accuracy. CJ Vergara capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Daniel Lacerda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:54 | 0:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 49 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 806 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
CJ Vergara controlled Daniel Lacerda on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:54 of control time, 49 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Daniel Lacerda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -18 |
CJ Vergara demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, CJ Vergara capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Lacerda's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Daniel Lacerda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
CJ Vergara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Lacerda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Daniel Lacerda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

