November 5, 2021
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Ode Osbourne's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ode Osbourne for the expected result. Had CJ Vergara pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 961 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Ode Osbourne earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 93 | 79 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 165 | 194 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 122 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 976 | 980 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
CJ Vergara controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (122 vs 89 total strikes), significant strike advantage (93 vs 79), superior accuracy (56.4% vs 40.7%). However, since CJ Vergara lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ode Osbourne's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:41 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 951 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Ode Osbourne did not secure a significant ground advantage against CJ Vergara on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:26 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Ode Osbourne demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ode Osbourne capitalized on this activity level, while CJ Vergara's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Ode Osbourne started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. CJ Vergara is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | CJ Vergara | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

