CJ Vergara vs Ode Osbourne

November 5, 2021

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

973
(-27)
CJ Vergara
Winner: Ode Osbourne
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

CJ Vergara-27
Ode Osbourne+32
1006
(+32)
Ode Osbourne

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Vergara: -33Ode Osbourne: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ VergaraOde Osbourne
Total UFC Fights14
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9671 013
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Ode Osbourne's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ode Osbourne for the expected result. Had CJ Vergara pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Vergara: -22Ode Osbourne: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ VergaraOde Osbourne
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO978999
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Vergara: -39Ode Osbourne: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ VergaraOde Osbourne
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9611 064
ELO Change-39+39
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What Happened

Ode Osbourne earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Vergara: -24Ode Osbourne: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ VergaraOde Osbourne
Significant Strikes Landed9379
Significant Strikes Attempted165194
Total Strikes Landed12289
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO976980
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

CJ Vergara controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (122 vs 89 total strikes), significant strike advantage (93 vs 79), superior accuracy (56.4% vs 40.7%). However, since CJ Vergara lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ode Osbourne's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Vergara: -34Ode Osbourne: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ VergaraOde Osbourne
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted07
Ground Control Time2:410:26
Ground Strikes Landed90
Ground ELO966951
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Ode Osbourne did not secure a significant ground advantage against CJ Vergara on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:26 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Vergara: -22Ode Osbourne: +56

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ VergaraOde Osbourne
Days Since Last FightN/A92
Activity ELO9781 035
ELO Change-22+56
💡

What Happened

Ode Osbourne demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ode Osbourne capitalized on this activity level, while CJ Vergara's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Vergara: -22Ode Osbourne: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ VergaraOde Osbourne
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9781 004
ELO Change-22+24
💡

What Happened

Ode Osbourne started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. CJ Vergara is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
CJ Vergara: -22Ode Osbourne: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricCJ VergaraOde Osbourne
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO978999
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.