September 9, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | CM Punk | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | CM Punk | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | CM Punk | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:14 | 2:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 969 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +55 |
Mickey Gall earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:14, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | CM Punk | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 922 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Mickey Gall controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 6 total strikes, 20 vs 0 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 0.0% accuracy. Mickey Gall capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | CM Punk | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 911 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Mickey Gall dominated CM Punk on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:11 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | CM Punk | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Mickey Gall demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mickey Gall capitalized on this activity level, while CM Punk's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | CM Punk | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Mickey Gall extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. CM Punk is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | CM Punk | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.