June 12, 2015
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 269 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +49 |
Fabricio Werdum overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cain Velasquez.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 315 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +99 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Fabricio Werdum captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:13 | 2:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 586 | 1 609 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +83 |
Fabricio Werdum earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:13, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Cain Velasquez was submitted.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 88 | 96 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 169 | 174 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 117 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 730 | 1 514 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Fabricio Werdum edged the striking exchanges with 96 vs 88 significant strikes. Fabricio Werdum capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:58 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 462 | 1 418 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Fabricio Werdum controlled Cain Velasquez on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:30 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 602 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 297 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +36 |
Fabricio Werdum demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Fabricio Werdum capitalized on this activity level, while Cain Velasquez's 602-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 270 | 1 241 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +68 |
Fabricio Werdum continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Cain Velasquez's now at 0.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 165 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.