November 11, 2011
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 203 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 177 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +75 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Junior Dos Santos captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:04 | 1:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 434 | 1 559 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +109 |
Junior Dos Santos earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:04, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 504 | 1 654 |
| ELO Change | -114 | +114 |
Junior Dos Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 61.5% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 333 | 1 382 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 386 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 216 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Junior Dos Santos demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Cain Velasquez's 386-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 8 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 205 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +73 |
Junior Dos Santos continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Cain Velasquez's now at 0.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 117 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.