December 28, 2012
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 258 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 265 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -26 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Cain Velasquez captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 509 | 1 557 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Cain Velasquez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 111 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 224 | 137 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 210 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 629 | 1 566 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Cain Velasquez dominated the striking exchanges with 210 vs 66 total strikes, 111 vs 57 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cain Velasquez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 33 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 13:55 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 37 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 489 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | +139 | -139 |
Cain Velasquez dominated Junior Dos Santos on the ground with 11 vs 0 takedowns, 13:55 of control time, 37 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 259 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -25 |
Cain Velasquez demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cain Velasquez capitalized on this activity level, while Junior Dos Santos's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 250 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -29 |
Cain Velasquez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Junior Dos Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cain Velasquez | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 155 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.