August 23, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 290 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -37 |
Caio Borralho overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jared Cannonier.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 139 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 431 | 1 458 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Caio Borralho earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 153 | 83 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 255 | 254 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 156 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 369 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
Caio Borralho dominated the striking exchanges with 156 vs 83 total strikes, 153 vs 83 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 32.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Caio Borralho capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:59 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 346 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Caio Borralho controlled Jared Cannonier on the ground with 1:59 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 273 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -26 |
Caio Borralho demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Caio Borralho capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Cannonier's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 7 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 240 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -21 |
Caio Borralho continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Jared Cannonier's now at 0.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 138 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.