October 21, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 101 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -37 |
Caio Borralho overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Makhmud Muradov.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 134 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Caio Borralho earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 089 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Makhmud Muradov controlled the striking through superior volume (76 vs 57 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (14 vs 19), superior accuracy (40.0% vs 59.4%). However, since Makhmud Muradov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Caio Borralho's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:32 | 4:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 157 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Caio Borralho edged out Makhmud Muradov on the ground with 1 takedown, 5:32 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 420 |
| Activity ELO | 1 138 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -21 |
Caio Borralho demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Caio Borralho capitalized on this activity level, while Makhmud Muradov's 420-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -21 |
Caio Borralho extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Makhmud Muradov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

