April 28, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 152 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -35 |
Caio Borralho overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Michal Oleksiejczuk.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 084 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:49 | 2:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 228 | 1 241 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -61 |
Caio Borralho earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:49, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Michal Oleksiejczuk was submitted.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 137 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Caio Borralho edged the striking exchanges with 52 vs 30 total strikes, 61.8% vs 46.2% accuracy. Caio Borralho capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:39 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 258 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -101 |
Caio Borralho dominated Michal Oleksiejczuk on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:39 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 168 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -24 |
Caio Borralho demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Caio Borralho capitalized on this activity level, while Michal Oleksiejczuk's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 106 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -21 |
Caio Borralho extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michal Oleksiejczuk is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Caio Borralho | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 084 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.