Caio Borralho vs Paul Craig

May 3, 2024

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1223
(+45)
Caio Borralho
Winner: Caio Borralho
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Caio Borralho+45
Paul Craig-31
1112
(-31)
Paul Craig

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Borralho: +51Paul Craig: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio BorralhoPaul Craig
Total UFC Fights618
Experience Gap-1212
Experience ELO1 2261 113
ELO Change+51-28
💡

What Happened

Caio Borralho overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paul Craig.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Borralho: +18Paul Craig: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio BorralhoPaul Craig
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1181 035
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Borralho: +117Paul Craig: -57

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio BorralhoPaul Craig
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:102:10
Win Type ELO1 3721 327
ELO Change+117-57
💡

What Happened

Caio Borralho gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Borralho: +79Paul Craig: -79

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio BorralhoPaul Craig
Significant Strikes Landed3622
Significant Strikes Attempted5048
Total Strikes Landed4322
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 2691 038
ELO Change+79-79
💡

What Happened

Caio Borralho controlled the striking exchanges with 43 vs 22 total strikes, 36 vs 22 significant strikes, 72.0% vs 45.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Caio Borralho capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Borralho: +13Paul Craig: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio BorralhoPaul Craig
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted06
Ground Control Time0:190:30
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2961 124
ELO Change+13-13
💡

What Happened

Caio Borralho did not secure a significant ground advantage against Paul Craig on the ground with 0:19 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Borralho: +25Paul Craig: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio BorralhoPaul Craig
Days Since Last Fight182168
Activity ELO1 2081 152
ELO Change+25-20
💡

What Happened

Caio Borralho demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Caio Borralho capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Craig's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Borralho: +44Paul Craig: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio BorralhoPaul Craig
Win Streak60
Win Streak ELO1 1791 070
ELO Change+44-18
💡

What Happened

Caio Borralho continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Paul Craig's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Borralho: +18Paul Craig: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio BorralhoPaul Craig
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1181 034
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.