Caio Machado vs Don'Tale Mayes

April 26, 2024

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

951
(-23)
Caio Machado
Winner: Don'Tale Mayes
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Caio Machado-23
Don'Tale Mayes+25
1055
(+25)
Don'Tale Mayes

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -22Don'Tale Mayes: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoDon'Tale Mayes
Total UFC Fights29
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO9531 102
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Don'Tale Mayes's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Don'Tale Mayes for the expected result. Had Caio Machado pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -20Don'Tale Mayes: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoDon'Tale Mayes
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9601 012
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -26Don'Tale Mayes: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoDon'Tale Mayes
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9381 131
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

Don'Tale Mayes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -39Don'Tale Mayes: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoDon'Tale Mayes
Significant Strikes Landed7667
Significant Strikes Attempted159183
Total Strikes Landed7773
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9431 109
ELO Change-39+39
💡

What Happened

Caio Machado controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (76 vs 67), superior accuracy (47.8% vs 36.6%). However, since Caio Machado lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Don'Tale Mayes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -23Don'Tale Mayes: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoDon'Tale Mayes
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:36
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO928959
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Don'Tale Mayes did not secure a significant ground advantage against Caio Machado on the ground with 0:36 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -16Don'Tale Mayes: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoDon'Tale Mayes
Days Since Last Fight161175
Activity ELO9641 087
ELO Change-16+29
💡

What Happened

Don'Tale Mayes demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Don'Tale Mayes capitalized on this activity level, while Caio Machado's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -20Don'Tale Mayes: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoDon'Tale Mayes
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9611 026
ELO Change-20+22
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What Happened

Don'Tale Mayes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caio Machado is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -20Don'Tale Mayes: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoDon'Tale Mayes
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9601 011
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.