Caio Machado vs Mick Parkin

November 17, 2023

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

974
(-26)
Caio Machado
Winner: Mick Parkin
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Caio Machado-26
Mick Parkin+29
1065
(+29)
Mick Parkin

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -25Mick Parkin: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoMick Parkin
Total UFC Fights12
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO9751 103
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -20Mick Parkin: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoMick Parkin
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9801 042
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -36Mick Parkin: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoMick Parkin
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9641 083
ELO Change-36+36
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What Happened

Mick Parkin earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -18Mick Parkin: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoMick Parkin
Significant Strikes Landed7639
Significant Strikes Attempted13298
Total Strikes Landed10369
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9821 068
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

Caio Machado controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (103 vs 69 total strikes), significant strike advantage (76 vs 39), superior accuracy (57.6% vs 39.8%). However, since Caio Machado lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mick Parkin's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -49Mick Parkin: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoMick Parkin
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted110
Ground Control Time0:206:23
Ground Strikes Landed22
Ground ELO9511 073
ELO Change-49+49
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What Happened

Mick Parkin controlled Caio Machado on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:23 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -20Mick Parkin: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoMick Parkin
Days Since Last FightN/A120
Activity ELO9801 061
ELO Change-20+39
💡

What Happened

Mick Parkin demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mick Parkin capitalized on this activity level, while Caio Machado's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -19Mick Parkin: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoMick Parkin
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9811 048
ELO Change-19+23
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What Happened

Mick Parkin extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caio Machado is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Machado: -20Mick Parkin: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MachadoMick Parkin
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9801 042
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.