November 17, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Caio Machado | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Caio Machado | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Caio Machado | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 964 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Mick Parkin earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Caio Machado | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 132 | 98 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 103 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Caio Machado controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (103 vs 69 total strikes), significant strike advantage (76 vs 39), superior accuracy (57.6% vs 39.8%). However, since Caio Machado lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mick Parkin's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Caio Machado | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 6:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 951 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Mick Parkin controlled Caio Machado on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:23 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Caio Machado | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +39 |
Mick Parkin demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mick Parkin capitalized on this activity level, while Caio Machado's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Caio Machado | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Mick Parkin extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caio Machado is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Caio Machado | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

